We have a weekly pick 'em contest at work. Pretty simple, any 3 picks per week from all of college and NFL games worth 100 points a piece. This is Vegas, so of course it's -110 points for a loss. The SCW is currently in 2nd place; however, the difference between 2nd and 5th is less than 100 points. I'm way out of first place, so I need to invoke the Stone Cold Mortal Lock Pick of the Year. Allowed only once per season per sport (college and pro), the SCML is worth 700 points. You guessed it, -770 for a loss. I suddenly realized I've only got 2 weeks left of college plus bowls. Here are the lines I'm tempted by this week:
Texas -5 at Texas A&M
Oregon -2 at UCLA
VaTech -3.5 at UVA
Washington -5.5 at home v. Wazzou
Connecticut +17 at WVU
I'm also liking
Seattle -3 at St. Louis
KC -5.5 at Oakland
Any thoughts? Am I discounting any tough places to play? A lot of favorites on the road here.
7 comments:
I don't have any real thoughts except don't pick St Louis to lose...they have been a horrible team all year, except when they have Bulger, Holt, and Jackson playing, and none of them are on the injury report.
I'll be rooting for my raiders - which guarantees their demise!
Take VT and UT with the points. The other ones I wouldn't touch. Oregon lost their QB for the year and lost to Arizona, Giving UConn 17 points is too much even though they are overrated. If White or Slaton get hurt UConn could win that game. UW and Wazzou both suck so why bother.
Seattle may be an ok pick, but St. Louis has won two in a row. KC has a tough defense but can't score so its tough to take them even though Oakland stinks.
So is there a reason that you haven't thrown your points at ANY of the Pats games so far this season? I don't know if you've noticed, but Vegas could make the line Pats -30 and they'd cover. Take the Pats and the points, that's my lead pipe, stone cold, shoe in, lock of the week (the best part, I have no idea who they are playing this week).
They are playing Philly at home and I believe they are currently a 22 point favorite. I don't believe I've seen a point spread that large before and this is against a 5-5 team. what is it going to be against Miami when they play again?
I have thrown a lot of points at the Pats and they have covered every spread this season except against the Colts. The spread was 21.5 against Buffalo and 17.5 against the Redskins. They just keep getting gaudier. If it's less than 30 against the Jets, I might make that my SCML. Assuming the defensive showing by the Jets last week was a fluke.
I really like UConn to beat the spread, but the only time I've seen either team play was when USF stomped WVU, so I may be biased.
While USF is a good team, WVU had tons of turnovers, and White got hurt during that game. The reason I don't touch WVU games is there whole team relies on White and Slaton, if either get hurt, especially White, they are screwed. But if you feel strongly about taking UConn and the points and wouldn't blame you.
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