Wednesday, November 12, 2008

No Need to Play 'Em

I ran a statistical model to forecast our league's outcome. Remember, as they say in the financial world, past results don't reflect future performance. But if it did:

Mustprotecthishouse3.0 11-3
Sam Hamwich 10-4
Minters Hard Hitters 9-5
80's Babies 9-5
Nasheville Toupee 8-6
Terry Tate All Stars 7-7
Spooner Express 5-9
Truth in Advertising 5-9
The Crows 4-10
Hela Monsters 2-10

The most lop-sided matchup: Spooner Express vs. Minter's Hard Hitters (Week 13): Spooner has a mere 19% chance of winning

The closest matchup: Sam Hamwich vs. Minter's Hard Hitters (Week 14): Sam Hamwich should win but it's only 51.3% likely

Yeah for having 7% of a real life which inspires you to do crap like this.

4 comments:

Rear Admir0l said...

I just want to mention that I predicted my 5-9 finish MANY MANY weeks ago.

Rear Admir0l said...

Ok, here's what you need to do:
Run your estimations using the current lineups.

Granted, we're all confident that the Slap Bet Commish is going to run away with the league anyway, but since Chinese jerseys are only $10, its all good.

Tray Deee said...

Hmmm...this sounds very fun. But also an abuse of the taxpayers.

Rear Admir0l said...

Ummm.... dude, you made half a mil disappear yesterday.