So I was worried about the prediction of points and opinion is that the provided projects are handily unreliable. Then I started worrying about how many points would one need to regularly score to win.
So I pulled the numbers through week ten and found that of the 50 wins the average winner earned 102.7 points/win. The lowest winning team points was the goat's week 4 win with 62 points against vds and the highest winning point total was humorously vds with 148 in week 6 against sc.
Yet the league leading goat has an average point per win of 91.2 pts/matchup. And our league trailing sh almost hit the average points per win right on the nose at 102.8 per win. (22 wins with above average points earned and 28 wins with below average points earned.
My summary question was answered (for a matchup in the first ten weeks). If you earn 80 or more points, you win 92% of the time.
Now to get the weather data to see if there is a tie in to weather and scoring.
Week 3 was the lowest week for winners with all five winners scoring under 100 pts, with an 89.8 average. Week 6 was the best with an average at 112.2, but only 3 of 5 winners scored higher than the average?
2 comments:
If you want, I can link this to secondary school holidays and see if there's a correlation.
For my part, I've only won on weeks where I voted that my opponent would beat me.
Yep, I"m afraid of the intangibles.
The fun is watching the real time scores roll in knowing that one has NO control. And to have a RB stop a yard short of 6 points. . .
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