Tuesday, December 8, 2009

The Play Offs

So, here's how the playoffs look...there are 32 win/loss scenarios left and I tried each one.

The only team who will definitely make the play offs is EH All Stars, assuming there's no huge point differentials, especially with The G.O.A.Ts and The Corn Rocket.

Wins Required:
9 win scenarios
9 wins always makes the play offs...obviously it can only be EH All Stars

8 win scenarios
For EH All Stars, Road House Coolers, Spooner Express, Viable Draft Strategy, and In Yo Grill, 8 wins will get you in the playoffs, baring a momumental scoring effort by Corn Rocket and/or The G.O.A.Ts

The G.O.A.Ts make the play offs if they win and 1)SER loses and CR loses; or if 2) SER loses and has more points than CR

The Corn Rocket makes the play offs if 1) SER loses and TG lose; or if 2) SER loses and CR scores 8 points more than TG

7 win scenarios
One 7 win teams make the play offs in 8 scenarios...
8 times it's Spooner Express if he outscores RHC by 11 and VDS by 33
4 times it's Spooner Express, regardless of points
4 times it's Road House Coolers if has more points than SER
2 times it's Viable Draft Strategy with a momumental score and RHC loss and SER loss
Others coud do it but would have to score 70+ points more than everyone else


Viewed another way, and assuming no weird extreme differentials:
EH All Stars: 100% chance
Spooner Express Redux: 63% chance
Road House Coolers: 62% chance
in yo grill: 50% chance
ViableDraftStrategy: 50% chance
The G.O.A.Ts: 38% chance
The Corn Rocket: 37% chance
Mustprotectthishouse3: <1% chance

1 comment:

The Greguar said...

Wonderful summation as always.