Continuing My Geek Out

I entered our actual results and actual schedule into the computer and replicated our season 100,000 times to determine the play off contenders. There is no forecast for the number of points a team will score in future weeks so our week 1 points are the tie breaker. The relative likelihoods are as follows:

Cradle Robbers: 59.8%
Sam Handwhich: 57.2%
New Cooter Boggie: 54.9%
SpoonerExpressVer3.0: 52.8%
Road House Coolers: 46.4%
Jurrasic Pork: 29.9%
Smallville Crows: 28.3%
MPTH v4.0: 24.8%
ViableDraftStrategy: 23.5%
EMK AllStars: 22.4%

Please note: After next week, the amount of information in my model literally doubles so expect to see rapid shifts over the coming 5 weeks. Also, somewhere around week 6, I will model in player quality*. Somewhere around week 11, I will model in tie breakers*.

*this promise is highly dependent on my continuing to act like a geeky single dude whose friends all have kids and go home by 9:30.